aaa

Wednesday, December 26, 2007

Eve

Enjoy this awesome video of Chris Botti ,
enjoy the music!
botti.jpg

Chris Botti" nessun dorma"

armin's stock selection blog here

Friday, December 14, 2007

My parents,
The 60th wedding anniversary



Congratulations!

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

DRYS

DRYS shares had a setback lately on selling frenzy even though has nothing to do subprime mortgage problems or significant change in fundamentals. A confluence of the fundamental factors remain intact, history too. So why I have selected DRYS in my portfolio ? Due to scents of the past, maybe, or for other reasons? Anyway, I'm flipping a ducat in this amphora!

past
gamphora.jpg
The Greeks, despite the struggles they have gone through history, have remained mariners without interruption so the aspect of their character. It's like love affair between the Greeks and the sea, an inseparable couple, two inseparable elements of life. Almost all of the Greek shipowners come from the rocky Greek islands. The neighboring islands of Chios and Inoussai,for example, have produced such shipping families as Lemos, Kulukundis, Pateras, Carras, Papalios...Traditionally, boys begin as sailors and send their wages back to the island to feed the family. If enough sons go to sea, the family may eventually save enough money to buy an old boat and if the ship makes money, the family buys another, then another. Most Greek shipowners started out this way!
So, I believe, they know about secrets of the shipping today, about how to mange vessels and they will be the first to weather future storms. Try to decipher through the fixtures on the Baltic Exchange about how their philosophy beats other at any time. Many times the Greek shipowners get a higher freight for some reason.

present
drys.jpg
Well, DryShips, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of drybulk carriers worldwide. The company's fleet carries various drybulk commodities, including coal, iron ore, and grains, bauxite, phosphate, fertilizers, and steel products.
By the way, I have been sailing on Panamax bulk carriers so believe that one of the DRYS vessels is loading coal today in Richard's Bay (South Africa), or sailing unfixed in ballast for Key West for order, eventually loading grains in Mississippi river, later. Not much has changed for the last 20 years or so.
In fact, on Aug 21, 2007 -- DryShips Inc. (NasdaqGS:DRYS - News), announced its unaudited financial and operating results for the second quarter and first half ended June 30, 2007.more
George Economou, the Company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of DryShips Inc., commented:
"We are pleased to report a second consecutive quarter with record EBITDA. We remain committed to implementing our previously stated chartering philosophy and to position more vessels to trade in the spot market on a voyage by voyage basis as the vessels are coming off previously concluded short-term charters. As of today, 52% of our fleet operating days for the remainder of 2007 remain unfixed.
"We continue to selectively add new and modern vessels to our existing fleet while disposing of older and smaller vessels, with a goal towards ensuring the longevity and quality of our fleet's earning capacity. Once the recently announced sale and purchase activity has been completed by the end of the first quarter of 2008 the Company's fleet will consist of a total of 46 vessels (including 7 new buildings) with an average age of just below 9 years, well below the industry average of about 13 years. "The outlook for 2008 remains positive with fewer vessels being delivered from the shipyards and Chinese demand projected to remain strong. DryShips will have approximately 17% more fleet operating days compared to 2007 and with approximately 97% of its fleet operating days unfixed it is in a unique position to take full advantage of this opportunity."


To say, that the Marine industry is mature, cyclical, and highly fragmented, but from 2004 to the present, the S&P Marine Index showed robust growth compared to the market as a whole, with Asian-Pacific routes showed the greatest growth. The demand for commodities from China and India combined with the shortage of dry bulk ships, is leading to an enormous increase in dry bulk rates, which for cape size ships are now almost $95,000 a day. The cost to operate these ships is under $10,000 a day.
It appeals DRYS revenue growth above industry average and ROE at 23.90%. Global growth would help DRYS shares to gain new higher territories.
chrtsrv.dlldrys.gif


future
greek.jpg

The shipping industry has always had something to do with the past, elegantly simple for the Greek shipowners; it seems like to get as close as to having next month's shipping newspaper, today!

continue reading
see blog here
Thanks!

Wednesday, August 1, 2007

Thursday, July 26, 2007

Financials


Financials were on a tear until the February Panic, outpacing the S&P 500 and most major sectors over the past two years. But unlike the other sectors, financials were hit hard with another wave of selling in late May and June. The following expanded view of two years of comparable performance illustrates the double blow which hit financials this year.
Risk averse investors should be stepping aside until the dust clears.

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Income Investing

Income Investing idea is to set:
Preferred Dividend Income Portfolio, as many companies issue preferred stock, which combines some of the characteristics of both stocks and bonds. Like bonds, preferred stocks are designed to pay a fixed rate of income for a set period of time and are sold on the basis of yield.
There are possible tax advantages, too.
Not bad at all!

Wednesday, June 27, 2007

TD Ameritrade/AMTD


Candlestick pattern today:
Matching Low Bullish


Tuesday, June 19, 2007

staples stocks

No matter how bad or good, buy through staples stocks could be a good investment. Year to date through June 8, this sector, which represents 9.3% of the S&P 500 index, rose 5.2% compared with a 6.3% gain for the “500.” In 2006, this sector rose 11.8% versus a 13.6% rise for the S&P 500. There are 12 industry indexes in this sector; household products is the largest, representing 22% of the sector’s market value.
see ranking in consumer staples sector

AMTD

SEC filings revealed two hedge funds, JANA Partners and S.A.C.
Capital, have built up a position in TD Ameritrade, representing about
8.4% of its shares, and their goal is for the online broker to merge with a peer.
Sentiment: Buy

Setbacks

MSCI AC World index (which includes emerging markets) is up 113% since March 2003.
The MSCI Emerging market index is now 181% above its 2003 low and
214% above its late 1990s high. Europe, Japan, and Asia Pac (ex Japan) have
seen similar performances since 2000 (+130%). Although the U.S. has lagged
(+88% since 2003), this is still a respectable absolute performance. It has been
a global bull market.We all know that markets don’t rise in a straight line.
This four-year bull market has seen four meaningful (5%+) setbacks. Each has
followed a 15%+ rally in the World index and has offered an opportunity to buy
ahead of the next upward move. Sure, these sell-offs may have been painful for
leveraged traders (especially the 11% setback in May 2006), but the biggest
mistake for any long-term investor would have been to sell into these dips.
Source: Smith Barney, Portfolio Strategist.

Friday, June 15, 2007

by Ken Kam

MSN Strategy Lab, 6/14/07 - Ken Kam shares his personal plan to build a safer safety net for our kids ("A safety net safer than Social Security," by Ken Kam) click here

Thursday, June 14, 2007

recent trades

Jun 5, Sell ELN
Jun 5, Buy ALVR
Jun 8, Buy GLT
Jun 13, Buy RIO
Jun 13, Buy WNR
in my virtual funds

Friday, June 8, 2007

Lodging REITs

for income-oriented investors. With the dollar at multi-year lows against many major global currencies, international travelers have more money in their pockets. Lodging REITs could be attractive!
Stock pick idea:
Sunstone Hotel Investors SHO
Strategic Hotels & Resorts BEE
Host Hotels & Resorts HST

Wednesday, June 6, 2007

REITs stock pick today

for income-oriented investors.
Through April, the Standard & Poor’s REIT Composite gained 3.8%. Pretty resilient, given the collapse of the subprime mortgage industry, and the significant slowdown in the housing market, but a pale shadow of the index’s 2006 gain of 35.4%, and the three-year return of 25.7%.According to the National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts, REITs enjoyed a 6.55% annual yield for the 10 years ending January 2005.
Hrpt Properties Trust HRP and North Star Realty NRF both have higher-than-average yields.
see forum about this topic

Tuesday, June 5, 2007

PTR chart

chinese growth

prospects are undeniably stronger than those in the United States or other developed international markets. Current Chinese sell-off will likely spark some healthy short term profit taking only. I expect the Chinese economy, which grew 11.1% in the first quarter, to remain strong as momentum builds leading up to the 2008 Summer Olympics.
But, where to put your money?
PTR Petrochina, company’s potential in oil and gas reserves, and stable production with help from a recent discovery in Bohai Bay.
PTR is top holding #9 in my energy sector fund

Thursday, May 31, 2007

*

see my health sector performance

stock pick health sector

Health care sector have underperformed the S&P 500. It's considered defensive sector, and many times do better during tough overall market environments.I think this health care stock presents a buying opportunity. Hologic HOLX Hologic plans to buy Master List company Cytyc for $6.2 billion in cash and stock. A merger of these two companies would create a leader in women’s health care with combined revenues ofabout $1.5 billion. Harman International HAR. With little net debt, a strong brand name, a solid revenue outlook, strong earnings growth potential over the next few years.


Tuesday, May 29, 2007

S&P 500

Since the bear market bottom on October 9, 2002, the S&P 500 is upabout 97%. The Nasdaq, which dropped a lot farther than the blue chip indexes during the bear market, has risen about 133%. But the real winners since the 2002 low have been the smallerstocks, with the S&P SmallCap 600 up about 157% and the S&P MidCap 400 up 144%. An almost full recovery!

Source: S&P Outlook

Friday, May 25, 2007

Precision Castparts / PCP

Bought 200 shares today in my virtual industrials sector fund @ 113.74

***

Access Journal-quality news & analysis 24/7
www.wsj.com

Friday, May 18, 2007

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Trades

Bought HRPT Properties Trust / HRP in financials sector fund.
considered value play, Yield % 7.0.

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

Personal computer

industry enjoyed a fourth consecutive year of growth in 2006, note that PC shipments in the United States increased a lackluster 3%, compared with hearty growth of about 17.6% in per unit shipments in the Asia-Pacific region, and even more robust 22.2% growth in Eastern Europe, LatinAmerica, and the Middle East. To expect overall growth continuing for a fifth year in 2007, with 11% total unit growth.
My picks :
Dell, International Business Machines, Apple.

Friday, May 11, 2007

listening now



have a good time!

Money Show in Las Vegas, May 14-17, 2007

Financials sector to overweight ?

I view the next move by the Fed is most likely a rate cut later this year, which will benefit the stocks in this rate-sensitive group. The banks and diversified financials , such as insurers and real estate investment trusts, have been having a tough year. Through April 17, the financials sector index has fallen behind, underperforming the S&P 500 index. Although the sector has appreciated, it’s the laggard of the 10 sector indices, rising only 0.7% while the “500” has gained 3.8%. In 2006, the financials sector index increased 16.2%, compared with a13.6% rise for the “500.” The subprime lending mess has put pressure on many stocks in the group recently. After energy, the financials sectorhas the lowest price-to-earnings ratio of all 10 sectors of the economy, at 12.7 times 2007 earnings. The powerful energy sector’s P/E can’t be beat at11.5 as of April 20. Price is one good reason why S&P says it’s time to consider banks again and the representative Sector SPDR-Financials (XLF). This sector makes up about 22% of the “500.”
Sentiment: Buy
XLF my top holding #4

Tuesday, May 1, 2007

Trades today

Bought ALL (Allstate), 300 shares , for financials sector fund.

Monday, April 30, 2007

Europe Blooms as

dollar weakness enhances european equity returns. European bourses have responded with gains of around 8.9% (in U.S. dollar terms) in the S&P Europe 350 index this year through April 17. In fact, the greenback has depreciated 3% vs. the euro and 2.6% vs. the pound sterling year-to-date, the S&P Europe 350’s 8.9% advance in U.S. dollars compares with a 6% local currency gain. While the greenback still accounts for 66% of global foreign reserves, the euro is fast becoming a more competitive reserve alternative with a 25% share. Here are European stocks that trade as ADRs or ADSs on a U.S. exchange, I believe are worth looking after:
BAB One of the largest airlines, British Airways operates out of one of theworld’s busiest airports, Heathrow, as well as nearby Gatwick.I think demand for international long-haul routes will continue to be strong in fiscal2008 aided by the strength of the pound sterling vs. the U.S. dollar,
Sentiment: Buy
EN Enel is Italy’s leading company in the generation, transmission, distribution,and supply of electricity. Note, the company’s solid and above-peer annual dividend yield of 5.1%, as well as its relatively strong balance sheet. Enel’s balance sheet has allowed the company to aggressively expand its operations outside its core market. For example, it recently announced several dealsin Russia.
Sentiment: Buy

Wednesday, April 4, 2007

Warren Buffett!

Warren Buffett sticks to his investing philosophy. If you run a screen based on Buffett’s six investment criteria, here are:
Free cash flow (net income aftertaxes, plus depreciation and amortization,less capital expenditures) of at least $50 million
Net margins of at least 15%
Return of equity of at least 15% for each of the past three years and the most recently reported quarter.
A dollar’s worth of retained earnings generating at least a dollar of shareholder value for the past five years
Overpriced stocks are removed by comparing estimated discounted future cash flow five years from now with the current price.
Only stocks with a market capitalization of at least $500 million are included.Simply so!

The club dedicated to studying and applying the investing principles developed by Warren Buffett.

Friday, March 30, 2007

Stock Pick

NCMI fast growth plus dividend .
To expect the cinema advertising to be second fastest growth sector in media (second only to the Internet). National CineMedia should be a big beneficiary of traditional media’s woes but has compelling video delivery capabilities, wide national reach, ability to reach hard-to-get demographics, also. NCMI is a growth stock with a dividend. The initial yield will be 2%, but strong growth and a rising payout could push it to 4%-plus by 2009. Target 31. Sentiment: Buy

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

On everyone’s mind

about this latest market shock.

Just how bad is the falloff in the subprime lending market?
Will conditions in the subprime mortgage market hurt national
economic output?
In recent years, home equity spending has been a major strength of the economy.
Are subprime defaults expected to change this?
Which areas of the economy could be hurt by the reduction in home
equity money?
Will this surge in subprime defaults have repercussions in any
particular region of the country?

How bad is going to be?

Friday, March 23, 2007

*

The Wall Street Journal is the most respected source for news and business information.
Get 294 issues of The Wall Street Journal for ONLY $.67 per issue

Invitation

to the Money Show in Las Vegas, May 14-17, 2007

High Yield Stocks

picks:

FRO 20.6%
Founded in 1985, Frontline Ltd is a Bermuda-based shipping company that owns and operates Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) and Suezmax tankers. In 2001, the shares were listed on the NYSE. FRO is engaged primarily in the transportation of crude oil products, and, in addition, raw materials such as coal and iron ore.
AHM 16.5%
American Home Mortgage is a real estate investment trust engaged in the investment and origination of residential mortgages in the U.S. AHM's main revenue source has been the origination and resale of securitized loans (79% of net revenue in 2006), primarily residential mortgages. The majority of the remainder of AHM's revenue (16%) is derived from net interest income from investments in high credit quality mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans.
CSE 9.6%
CapitalSource is a specialized commercial finance company offering senior secured cash flow, senior secured asset-based, first mortgage, and mezzanine loans to small and mid-sized borrowers through three focused lending groups: Healthcare and Specialty Finance, Structured Finance, and Corporate Finance.

Thursday, March 22, 2007

see more about quality fund

Quality Stocks In



Since Inception 121.50%Alpha 7.11% Beta 0.95

Top Ten SID USNA CEDC LOGI NXY XTO INT SPAR IMO MCO

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Join Marketocracy for FREE

Energy sector

Crude oil futures slipped to a sevenweek closing low, as U.S. refinery maintenance and unplanned outages cut short-term demand and led to forecasts of increased inventories.
The front-month April contract, in its last day of trading, finished $2.97 a barrel lower than the May contract, which analysts said indicated demand for crude is low now.

see performance of my energy fund

Japanese Candlestick

screened today:

CCU Harami Bearish
EMMS Harami Cross Bearish
MAGS Meeting Lines Bullish
RIG Long Legged Doji Bearish
SYNM Stick Sandwich Bullish



It helps in making decision to buy or sell stock.
Store

Monday, March 19, 2007

Marketocracy Media Highlights

Two weeks after

a 3.5% one-day drop in the S&P 500, the market suffered another 2% decline, triggered by a Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) report of an increase in subprime and prime delinquencies. All 10 sectors in the S&P 500 took a hit on March 13, with the S&P 500 financials sector down themost on the day (-3%). All that is not likely over? From a technical perspective, Mark Arbeter, S&P’s chief technical strategist believes the S&P 500 financials index has broken down on an intermediate term basis on very heavy volume, and appears headed for a test of long-term support just 1% below current prices. Near-term investor sentiment in this sector has been hurt by concerns in the subprime mortgage market. Opportunities are seen in higher-quality banks.
WB BAC C See also previous posts in Financials.
Look over the shoulder of the best investors in the world as they discuss the topics :
forums

Friday, March 16, 2007

The Wall Street Journal was founded in 1889

Consumer Discretionary vs S&P


This fund has experienced every troubled waters imaginable since inception:Nov 06, 2000, including 9/11 before and after and now stands with return of 57.70%. Make your conclusion here. Subprime woe, uncertainity again once the dust settles, inflation worries,name it. What a deal, in the middle of the 13th century Venetian bankers began to trade in government securities. They had the same worries too. Is it going to be business as usual? Will the next six years S&P graph show same mediocre performance? The most probably yes.
Learn your way and take care about your investments.




"A great leader never sets himself above his followers except in carrying responsibilites."-Jules Ormont


Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Gurus Buy Banks, Prep For Inflation

Top stock pickers at Marketocracy.com were net buyers last week, picking up beaten stocks in the wake of the market shakeout two weeks ago. But overall they didn’t change their main investing themes of energy, materials and financial services. The three sectors continue to make up half of their combined portfolio.
Guru Buys
Corus Bankshares CORS
Bank of America BAC
Alpharma ALO
Newmont Mining NEM
Myriad Genetics MYGN

Guru Sells

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF GDX
Globalsantafe GSF
Biogen BIIB
Senior Housing Properties SNH
XTO Energy XTO

more about Guru Buys And Sells

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Trades

During last hours selloff bought XLF WB ADVNB in my financials sector.

Monday, March 12, 2007

Buy XLF SPDR Financials

Order to buy XLF before market open, adding to already top holding #7, due to recent money inflows in this ETF.

financials

Friday, March 9, 2007

Opinion

SPLS (office supply retailer) After strong January-quarter earnings and a recent sell-off inthe shares SPLS seems attractive. quote

NCTY( online game company) recentlydropped along with other Chinese shares. I find it appealing. quote

ALXN- FDA approval inearly March for the biotech’s Soliris, a potential treatment for arare blood disorder. I believe that Alexion will dominate this market. quote

The thought I want to leave with you is this familiar axiom:"If you think you can, you can. If you think you can't, you are right.

Join Marketocracy for FREE

As my financials sector portfolio got pummeled,need fresh capital .
All Trades at market open:
Sell all shares of AMIC SSS CBL

Wednesday, March 7, 2007

trades...

sell -half position in World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD)despite recent upgrade, seems overvalued. Candkestick pattern, Downside Gap Three Methods Bearish

buy -Bank of America Corp. (BAC); added, now top holding #10, 2.76% -financials sector




Tuesday, March 6, 2007

Dual Buffett Strategy...Amateur Guru

Christopher Rees
read more

stock picks health sector...



The healthcare arena is made up of companies that provide biotechnological and pharmaceutical products and medical devices, AMED LH MDF NHWK operate in healthcare facilities. I believe are a good buy opportunities.

Since Inception 114.42%





Monday, March 5, 2007

Opportunities...

The 3.46% drop in the S&P 500 on February 27 was not recordsetting, but certainly eye-catching, In fact, it was only No. 31 on the one-day “hit” parade since 1950.The first trading day’s decline after 9/11. Of course, the mother of all single-session slumps occurred on Black Monday, October 19, 1987.
In my opinion opportunities are likely to emerge once the dust settles!

Friday, March 2, 2007

Trades...

this week:

RE quote chart forum postings added in financials fund
Looking to buy:
BJS quote chart forum postings

Weely quote:
If a man's actions are not guided bythoughtful conclusions, then they are guided byinconsiderate impulse, unbalanced appetite,caprice or the circumstances of the moment.
John Dewey

Join Marketocracy for FREE

Warren Buffett Letter to Shareholders

between...

Buffett seeks a 'New Buffett' In annual report released Thursday, the world's greatest investor says he's looking for an understudy - job-hoppers and money-grubbers need not apply.

Picking the right person to hire on the investment side will not be easy, Buffett says. "We need someone genetically programmed," he specifies, "to avoid serious risks, including those never before encountered." Other talents he will be looking for, he says, are "independent thinking, emotional stability, and a keen understanding of both human and institutional behavior."

Thanks for lessons Warren !
The Essays of Warren Buffett : Lessons for Corporate America

keyword: Warren Buffett

Thursday, March 1, 2007

Market Watch by Ken Kam, Marketocracy...

Don't panic!
The headlines: "Stocks plummet 3.5% on ... blah, blah, blah which was the largest single day drop since blah, blah, blah." Fear is not a bad thing. Overblown fears can drive prices down, creating terrific buying opportunities.
Click here to see the article.

Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Insurance — Property & Casualty...

If you do your own research on stocks, probably you'll come along reading Citgroup PortfolioStrategist, weekly, so the report said on February 22 that insurers are releasing reserves from recent “hard market” years at a faster pace than in previous cycles and focus on insurers that were able to maximize premium growth during the hard market years of 2003-05.
Selection:

ACE
XL
RE
ACGL
HCC

Monday, February 26, 2007

mFOLIO Master...

VentureBeat talked with the No. 1 guy, Rees ( which shows how he killed the market, year in and year out).
more

GOOG!

After very solid, but not spectacular fourth quarterresults, and decline in GOOG shares, Google continues to take share in online advertising and with high levels of value creationremains a good buying opportunity with target price $600?
Sentiment: Buy

Friday, February 23, 2007

Summary!

Trades in My Funds:

AA...position added
ATI...position trimmed
GARP Idea on watclist

btw- I love a brainy quotes, so enjoy with this one:

"Impatience never commanded success"-Edwin H. Chapin

Have a good weekend!
Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)
Join Marketocracy for FREE

Thursday, February 22, 2007

Stock Research/Technical

Japanese Candlestick Signals can be very helpful in making decisions to buy or sell certain stock, whether day trading , swing trading or long term investing. It's a way to understanding the investor psychology that formed the signals that allows an investor to clearly understand what makes prices move.

I do some research on Candlesticks Patterns, here's a list:


BOKF
Hanging Man Bearish

CRZO
Long Legged Doji Bearish

DISH
Upside Gap Three Methods Bullish

EWO
Belt Hold Bullish

GBL
Long Legged Doji Bullish

HYSL
Three White Soldiers Bullish

NE
Downside Gap Three Methods Bearish


If you want to learn more:

Keyword: candlestick

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

China !

Mainland China’s primary stockmarkets more than doubled in valuel ast year, fueled by a burst of cash from newly affluent Chinese investors, continued robust economic growth, buoyant exports, a flurry of gigantic IPOs, and increased dual listings of stocks on both foreign and local exchanges. Indeed, the ShanghaiComposite index skyrocketed 130%last year. The financial sector in particular which includes China Life Insurance (LFC, 45), now one of the world’s largest insurers.Some Chinese stocks to consider:

China Mobile/CHL
Cnooc/CEO
Focus Media/FMCN
Huaneng Power /HNP
KongZhong/KONG

As usual, there is one question: Have Chinese equities risen too far too fast? Maybe it's a momentum only, in the long run I see it much higher!

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

What is a mFOLIO ?

An mFOLIO is a Marketocracy managed model portfolio that closely mirrors model portfolios managed by members at Marketocracy that have been selected as mFOLIO Masters and that Marketocracy Capital Management LLC (MCM) offers as products to clients of MCM's mFOLIO Managed Account Program on FOLIOfn's Advisor trading platform.
There are currently five mFOLIOs for our launch:
ist.martin's Optimal Risk Return (ORR) crossy's Industry Analysis Fund (CIAF) crees' Ten Stocks (10STX) athompson's TPSNX Fund (TPSNX) Ken Kam's Best ideas Fund (BIP)
Except for Ken's BIP they all have superior track records over five years, have demonstrated more of a generalist approach than a specialist approach and are somewhat different.
Future mFOLIOs do not have to meet the exact same criteria. mFOLIOs are essentially products for clients to invest in and building blocks for advisors or investors to build their own team around their own investing strengths. We may decide to form teams around a specific area, e.g., a tech team or a S&P 500 team.

News from M

"Marketocracy lets you place money with the best"

read more

The fourth quarter...

Albeit a rough start, the fourth quarter delivered respectable profit gains. More than 80% of the companies int he S&P 500 have reported fourth quarter2006 operating results. I'm somewhat sector oriented, so noted that notable upside surprises came from the consumer discretionary, materials, and industrials sectors. The biggest disappointments were seen in energy, health care, andinformation technology. Despite, could have been a lot worse. Fot those following Buffett’s six investment criteria: AMTD apeals to me a lot, as for company’s strong market share in the financial advisor arena and its efforts to attract long-term investors. I hold AMTD stock in my ASFIN fund, inception return 35.13%, days held 1246.

Monday, February 19, 2007

Outlook !


Sector: MATERIALS, Due to a slowdown in the auto sector, higher imports, and excessive inventories at distributors and original equipment manufacturers, are going to put a pressure on steel price. The aluminum picture is brightening, with prices ticking higher after lagging the metals cycle overt he past four years. Much higher copper prices should boost revenues and earnings for the diversified metals and mining group. I expect for gold miners to post strong gains in sales and profits, primarily reflecting the higher average spot price for gold. As for chemicals, the group will be hurt by a slowdown in the housing market and customer inventory reductions.Two picks to consider: Alcoa and Alcan. My ASMAT(Materials) Fund top holdings:


ATI PD X NUE MON

Friday, February 16, 2007

Note: You can ask your questions in Italian
language, too.

Thoughts!

It's true, one could be an amateur investor, but having one profession too. This very moment I remember end of December period some thirty years ago, sailing from Oakland, Ca bound to China, cargo ship vessel loaded with cargo of cotton in bales, crossing North Pacific, where you don't know you are "in the eye of the storm" or out, you face the risks in every way immaginable. Such a picture is very much different from one I show with my earlier post. But, all that, has something to do with stock markets, investing, Wall Street ? Yes, both have the risk in common, so fine tune your decisions, learn, practice and build your experience, think twice!

Thursday, February 15, 2007

GARP again !

Research today resulted with the following list:

CAM......... Oil Well Services & Equipment
GIII...........Apparel Accessories
HP..............Oil Well Services & Equipment
LUFK.........Constr. & Agric. Machinery
MTW..........Constr. & Agric. Machinery
MSCC.........Semiconductors
OSK............Auto & Truck Manufacturers
QSII...........Software & Programming
RTEC.........Semiconductors
TISI...........Business Services
VSEA.........,Semiconductors

I'm looking to select some of those shares in my ASQLY Fund.





Wednesday, February 14, 2007

News...

This Blog will be esentially like My Trading Journal,
but sometimes I'll post some frash news from
marketocracy.com
like this:
Manger Performance

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Outlook

Sector:FINANCIALS For U.S. regional banks, I expect earnings growth rates will slow to 6.6% in the fourth quarter of 2006 from 7.4% in the third quarter, because of the inverted yield curve. The fourth quarteris going to be difficult for the regional banks and thrifts due to the yield environment. I believe that loan growth will offset net interest margin pressure, as competition for loans remained fierce.This caused many thrifts and banks to moderate loan growth while waiting for more favorable funding conditions. Those with investment banking activities should fare the best.To expect property-casualty insurers to post significantly improved fourth-quarter operating earnings (9% to 12% in many cases) in the absence of any significant catastrophe claims, favorable contributions from investmentincome, and the positive effect of share buybacks.




I'm looking to reduce XLF holding in my ASFIN Fund.








Monday, February 12, 2007

GARP Idea:
sold BG....upside captured
bought ADM...long term prospects are strong

Trades made before market opened.

Tuesday, February 6, 2007

Outlook: Energy Sector

Oil and gas prices have retreated significantly from last year’s record levels, owing to forecasts of reduced oil-demand growth rising inventories, and warmer-than-expected weather in some parts of the United States.President George W. Bush’s proposal to attain total energy independence...more



Monday, January 29, 2007

Have you ever tried Virtual Trading?
I've been doing that for the last six years
at marketocracy.com
Have a look!

And sign-up if you will !

http://wsstuk.googlepages.com/home