armin's stock selection blog here
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Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
DRYS
DRYS shares had a setback lately on selling frenzy even though has nothing to do subprime mortgage problems or significant change in fundamentals. A confluence of the fundamental factors remain intact, history too. So why I have selected DRYS in my portfolio ? Due to scents of the past, maybe, or for other reasons? Anyway, I'm flipping a ducat in this amphora!
past
The Greeks, despite the struggles they have gone through history, have remained mariners without interruption so the aspect of their character. It's like love affair between the Greeks and the sea, an inseparable couple, two inseparable elements of life. Almost all of the Greek shipowners come from the rocky Greek islands. The neighboring islands of Chios and Inoussai,for example, have produced such shipping families as Lemos, Kulukundis, Pateras, Carras, Papalios...Traditionally, boys begin as sailors and send their wages back to the island to feed the family. If enough sons go to sea, the family may eventually save enough money to buy an old boat and if the ship makes money, the family buys another, then another. Most Greek shipowners started out this way!
So, I believe, they know about secrets of the shipping today, about how to mange vessels and they will be the first to weather future storms. Try to decipher through the fixtures on the Baltic Exchange about how their philosophy beats other at any time. Many times the Greek shipowners get a higher freight for some reason.
present
Well, DryShips, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of drybulk carriers worldwide. The company's fleet carries various drybulk commodities, including coal, iron ore, and grains, bauxite, phosphate, fertilizers, and steel products.
By the way, I have been sailing on Panamax bulk carriers so believe that one of the DRYS vessels is loading coal today in Richard's Bay (South Africa), or sailing unfixed in ballast for Key West for order, eventually loading grains in Mississippi river, later. Not much has changed for the last 20 years or so.
In fact, on Aug 21, 2007 -- DryShips Inc. (NasdaqGS:DRYS - News), announced its unaudited financial and operating results for the second quarter and first half ended June 30, 2007.more
George Economou, the Company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of DryShips Inc., commented:
"We are pleased to report a second consecutive quarter with record EBITDA. We remain committed to implementing our previously stated chartering philosophy and to position more vessels to trade in the spot market on a voyage by voyage basis as the vessels are coming off previously concluded short-term charters. As of today, 52% of our fleet operating days for the remainder of 2007 remain unfixed.
"We continue to selectively add new and modern vessels to our existing fleet while disposing of older and smaller vessels, with a goal towards ensuring the longevity and quality of our fleet's earning capacity. Once the recently announced sale and purchase activity has been completed by the end of the first quarter of 2008 the Company's fleet will consist of a total of 46 vessels (including 7 new buildings) with an average age of just below 9 years, well below the industry average of about 13 years. "The outlook for 2008 remains positive with fewer vessels being delivered from the shipyards and Chinese demand projected to remain strong. DryShips will have approximately 17% more fleet operating days compared to 2007 and with approximately 97% of its fleet operating days unfixed it is in a unique position to take full advantage of this opportunity."
To say, that the Marine industry is mature, cyclical, and highly fragmented, but from 2004 to the present, the S&P Marine Index showed robust growth compared to the market as a whole, with Asian-Pacific routes showed the greatest growth. The demand for commodities from China and India combined with the shortage of dry bulk ships, is leading to an enormous increase in dry bulk rates, which for cape size ships are now almost $95,000 a day. The cost to operate these ships is under $10,000 a day.
It appeals DRYS revenue growth above industry average and ROE at 23.90%. Global growth would help DRYS shares to gain new higher territories.
future
The shipping industry has always had something to do with the past, elegantly simple for the Greek shipowners; it seems like to get as close as to having next month's shipping newspaper, today!
continue reading
see blog here
Thanks!
past
The Greeks, despite the struggles they have gone through history, have remained mariners without interruption so the aspect of their character. It's like love affair between the Greeks and the sea, an inseparable couple, two inseparable elements of life. Almost all of the Greek shipowners come from the rocky Greek islands. The neighboring islands of Chios and Inoussai,for example, have produced such shipping families as Lemos, Kulukundis, Pateras, Carras, Papalios...Traditionally, boys begin as sailors and send their wages back to the island to feed the family. If enough sons go to sea, the family may eventually save enough money to buy an old boat and if the ship makes money, the family buys another, then another. Most Greek shipowners started out this way!
So, I believe, they know about secrets of the shipping today, about how to mange vessels and they will be the first to weather future storms. Try to decipher through the fixtures on the Baltic Exchange about how their philosophy beats other at any time. Many times the Greek shipowners get a higher freight for some reason.
present
Well, DryShips, Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of drybulk carriers worldwide. The company's fleet carries various drybulk commodities, including coal, iron ore, and grains, bauxite, phosphate, fertilizers, and steel products.
By the way, I have been sailing on Panamax bulk carriers so believe that one of the DRYS vessels is loading coal today in Richard's Bay (South Africa), or sailing unfixed in ballast for Key West for order, eventually loading grains in Mississippi river, later. Not much has changed for the last 20 years or so.
In fact, on Aug 21, 2007 -- DryShips Inc. (NasdaqGS:DRYS - News), announced its unaudited financial and operating results for the second quarter and first half ended June 30, 2007.more
George Economou, the Company's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of DryShips Inc., commented:
"We are pleased to report a second consecutive quarter with record EBITDA. We remain committed to implementing our previously stated chartering philosophy and to position more vessels to trade in the spot market on a voyage by voyage basis as the vessels are coming off previously concluded short-term charters. As of today, 52% of our fleet operating days for the remainder of 2007 remain unfixed.
"We continue to selectively add new and modern vessels to our existing fleet while disposing of older and smaller vessels, with a goal towards ensuring the longevity and quality of our fleet's earning capacity. Once the recently announced sale and purchase activity has been completed by the end of the first quarter of 2008 the Company's fleet will consist of a total of 46 vessels (including 7 new buildings) with an average age of just below 9 years, well below the industry average of about 13 years. "The outlook for 2008 remains positive with fewer vessels being delivered from the shipyards and Chinese demand projected to remain strong. DryShips will have approximately 17% more fleet operating days compared to 2007 and with approximately 97% of its fleet operating days unfixed it is in a unique position to take full advantage of this opportunity."
To say, that the Marine industry is mature, cyclical, and highly fragmented, but from 2004 to the present, the S&P Marine Index showed robust growth compared to the market as a whole, with Asian-Pacific routes showed the greatest growth. The demand for commodities from China and India combined with the shortage of dry bulk ships, is leading to an enormous increase in dry bulk rates, which for cape size ships are now almost $95,000 a day. The cost to operate these ships is under $10,000 a day.
It appeals DRYS revenue growth above industry average and ROE at 23.90%. Global growth would help DRYS shares to gain new higher territories.
future
The shipping industry has always had something to do with the past, elegantly simple for the Greek shipowners; it seems like to get as close as to having next month's shipping newspaper, today!
continue reading
see blog here
Thanks!
Wednesday, August 1, 2007
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